← Brood en Spelen MRC Regionals
Fire EruptingTier 2
at Brood en Spelen MRC Regionals
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
4-2-0
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.9%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
56.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1236
· median 1236
· range 1236–1236
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1116
Q1 1172
Q3 1353
1520
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 23.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.6% | +10.5 |
| Wind Allies | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 7.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 61.7% | +11.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.5% | -16.9 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 5.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.5 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.5% | -18.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Shadowstrike | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos Tonoris | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Erupting decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
